We’ve finally made it to Draft Day after months of scouting and testing players and for the first time in a long time, nobody knows what is going to happen in the Draft. Rumor is going into today that Jacksonville is going to select Georgia EDGE Travon Walker with the #1 overall pick in one of the greatest rises throughout a draft process I’ve ever seen. Add to that the uncertain nature of what’s going on beyond the #1 pick, this draft is about to head into chaos.
As for Mock 4.0, this is the one where we attempt to go for accuracy. Last year, we correctly picked 12 of the Top 32 picks with their correct teams including the Top 6 picks in the draft. This year I fully expect to be wrong on most of these, but we’re going to make the attempt anyways. For reference on past Mock Drafts see below:
Mock 1.0- http://thedawgland.com/2022/02/2022-nfl-mock-draft-1-0-clouded-at-the-top/
Mock 2.0- http://thedawgland.com/2022/03/2022-mock-draft-2-0-so-much-chaos/
Mock 3.0- http://thedawgland.com/2022/04/mock-draft-3-0-s-hits-the-fan/
- Jacksonville Jaguars- EDGE Travon Walker Georgia- Where there’s smoke, there’s fire. While it’s still possible Aidan Hutchinson is the #1 pick, it seems more and more like likely that the Jaguars will take the Georgia standout. It’s been quite amazing to see the rise of Walker to #1, but if his athletic numbers and some of his explosive tape can translate to the NFL, the Jags could have a true partner in crime for Josh Allen.
2. Detroit Lions- EDGE Aidan Hutchinson Michigan- While the Lions are probably in serious consideration for Malik Willis, the Lions can potentially wait to get their QB. Aidan Hutchinson fits perfectly with the Lions as a Michigan Man and a personality that fits perfectly with Dan Campbell. His ability to wreck havoc in the backfield and also for the Lions sell jerseys for fans will be motivating factors when the Lions keep Hutch home.
3. Houston Texans- CB Derek Stingley Jr. LSU- There’s too much smoke at this point to not believe it. Stingley recovered from his foot injury to have a strong Pro Day that recovered his falling draft stock. Stingley was the top corner and one of the Top 3 players on the board going into 2021, but a foot injury sidelined him for the majority of the season. Outside of his outstanding Freshman season, there’s no consistent tape of Stingley because he couldn’t stay on the field. At the end of the day, he has the prototypical size and athleticism you want in a shutdown corner and worthy of this high selection.
4. New York Jets- CB Ahmad “Sauce” Gardner Cincinnati- The Jets have a great opportunity here to either get a top corner or a top pass rusher. With the way the board is, the Jets can go multiple ways. While Kayvon Thibodeaux is tempting, Gardner fits everything that Robert Saleh is looking for. Gardner gives off a lot of Richard Sherman vibes with his size, lockdown ability and ballhawk mentality. Gardner would immediately give the Jets a lockdown corner with a leader personality.
5. New Orleans Saints (from New York Giants)- TRADE: New Orleans acquires the #5 overall pick from New York Giants in exchange for the #16 and #19 overall picks and a 2023 4th Round pick- QB Malik Willis Liberty- The Saints didn’t just acquire an extra first round pick to just sit around. They package up 16 and 19 with a team in the Giants primed to trade down from their pick. The Saints use that pick to get their hopeful QB of the future in Willis. Willis walks into New Orleans to learn behind Jameis Winston with a core of talent that he can use around him whenever his number is called upon. Add to that with his athleticism playing the NFC South will be a positive going forward.
6. Carolina Panthers- OT Ickey Ekwonu NC State- It’s clear that the Panthers will address the QB position at some point, but for any QB to succeed, they need protection. Ickey Ekonwu fills the need at LT and has the potential to be the best OT in this draft and the Panthers know they can get either a value QB pick in the second round or even make a trade for a Baker Mayfield. At the end of the day, the Panthers have weapons in DJ Moore and CMC, but if nobody can protect the QB, success won’t happen.
7. New York Giants- OT Evan Neal Alabama- The Giants after trading down from 5 gain 2 more 1st Round picks and now get one of the top players in the draft in Neal. The Giants are definitely in the market for a LT and Neal offers exactly what they need. Neal gives them a big, physical presence to block Daniel Jones blindside and allow them to utilize some of the weapons they have on offense for once.
8. Atlanta Falcons- WR Jameson Williams Alabama- The Falcons can go in a million different ways, but I’m buying the smoke that Williams is their guy. For a team that really isn’t competing this year and an eye on the QB market in 2023, why not get the most explosive and talented receiver and allow him to be eased in coming off his ACL injury? It seems like a no brainer for the Falcons who will move on from Calvin Ridley. It’s a perfect fit for both sides as Williams won’t have to rush back and the Falcons get an elite talent.
9. Seattle Seahawks- OT Charles Cross Mississippi State- The Seahawks are currently playing chicken with the Browns in trying to get Baker Mayfield which will probably eventually lead to a trade. In the meantime the Seahawks focus their energy on getting an O-Line to protect their QB. Cross has had as good of a draft process as anyone and could end up being the first OT selected. For the Seahawks, Cross gives them a young LT that they can finally build around for whoever their QB is. If they can land Baker Mayfield and he can return to form, with a strong O-Line, the Seahawks have an offense that can compete next year.
10. San Francisco 49ers (from New York Jets via Seattle)- TRADE: San Francisco acquires the #10 overall pick, a 2022 2nd Round pick (#38 overall), a 2023 2nd Round pick and WR Elijah Moore from the New York Jets in exchange for WR Deebo Samuel- WR Garrett Wilson Ohio State- With Deebo Samuel’s trade demands, this feels inevitable. The Jets were aggressive for Tyreek Hill and I expect they won’t let Deebo slip away this time. At the cost of 3 top 2 round picks in 2022 and 2023, plus Elijah Moore, they get their guy. The 49ers use this opportunity to take one of the best WRs in the draft. Garrett Wilson would easily replace the explosiveness Deebo had in this offense and be a downfield threat that Trey Lance needs. While he won’t be the Swiss army knife player like Deebo, Wilson will be a playmaker with his ability to create separation.
11. Washington Commanders- WR Drake London USC- The Commanders with the Terry McLaurin rumors swirling may look to add another weapon opposite him for Carson Wentz. At this point with Wilson and Williams off the board, the Commanders go with the big, physical WR in London. He offers a perfect compliment to McLaurin for the time being and the potential of being a star WR. There’s a lot of Brandon Marshall in his game. If Carson Wentz is to succeed, he needs weapons. Having a duo of McLaurin and London with Antonio Gibson gives him everything he needs.
12. Minnesota Vikings- EDGE Kayvon Thibodeaux Oregon- If somehow Kayvon Thibodeaux falls here, Kwesi isn’t going to waste much time handing in the card. He fits all the guardrails and the Vikings lack a young pass rusher. At this point it’s a steal of a pick here for the Vikings and there’s no need to explain it any further. An A+ pick for the Vikings to kick off their draft.
13. Houston Texans (from Cleveland)- EDGE Jermaine Johnson Florida State- The Texans after going with Derek Stingley at #3 and passing up EDGE finally get one of them to fall to their laps at 13. There’s a lot of people who are mixed with where exactly Johnson goes. Some think he can go as high as #4 overall, others think he can go at the end of Round 1. At this point, the Texans get their top end pass rusher and start building a young talented defense for Lovie Smith. A duo of Stingley and Johnson would be potentially terrifying and they have the coach to get it out of them.
14. Baltimore Ravens- DT Jordan Davis Georgia- The Ravens would be sitting with Kyle Hamilton staring at them, but at the end of the day, they need interior defense help. Davis’ combine performance has teams seeing his full potential. While it’s possible the Ravens could go with Trent McDuffie here to bolster the secondary, the Ravens could have their next Haloti Ngata in Davis if they go with him.
15. Philadelphia Eagles- CB Trent McDuffie Washington- The Eagles would most likely go with a Defensive Back here but do they go with Kyle Hamilton or Trent McDuffie. At the end of the day I think it’s McDuffie’s ability to play both CB and Safety is what will give him the edge. The Eagles at the end of the day need defensive help, a lot of it. McDuffie has the athleticism to keep up with the best receivers and strong zone coverage skills and is a willing tackler. The Eagles pick up what some think could be the best defensive back in the draft.
16. New York Giants (from New Orleans)- S Kyle Hamilton Notre Dame- At this point after trading down, you take the best player available here. The Giants have a major need at Safety and get possibly the best player in the draft in Hamilton. While his underwhelming 40 time hurt his stock, the tape screams a great talent for anyone’s secondary. While some may say he doesn’t have a true position, working with a Wink Martindale will allow him to work with a Defensive Coordinator that will know how to play him.
17. Los Angeles Chargers- OT Trevor Penning Northern Iowa- If the Chargers can’t get Jordan Davis, I fully expect them to target a LT. Penning has performed well throughout the process and honestly would fit very well in Los Angeles’ offense. It finally gives the Chargers a guy that can block Justin Herbert’s blind side.
18. Philadelphia Eagles- DT Devonte Wyatt Georgia- With Fletcher Cox on the back nine of his career and the Eagles, they must look to replace him for the future. Wyatt brings the explosiveness and athleticism that Cox once had when he started in Philly. To let him learn from Cox and play alongside him for a year would be a huge benefit for Wyatt.
19. New York Giants (from New Orleans)- OG Kenyon Green Texas A&M- Wide Receiver would definitely be in play at this point, but the reality is the Giants have a dreadful O-Line to begin with. Kenyon Green has jumped back up boards and should be a 1st Round selection. The Giants would make the controversial pick here, but again if they’re investing in Daniel Jones, he needs an O-Line to succeed.
20. Pittsburgh Steelers- QB Kenny Pickett Pittsburgh- The Steelers are drafting a QB, this isn’t a debate. At the end of the day Pickett offers the mobility and passing ability that the Steelers are looking for in a QB. While Desmond Ridder might be a strong possibility, it may be hard to pass on the hometown kid.
21. New England Patriots- LB Devin Lloyd Utah- This pick doesn’t change from Mock 3.0. Lloyd is a perfect fit in Belichick’s defense and they have a need at LB. No need to explain further.
22. Green Bay Packers- WR Chris Olave Ohio State- It’s a perfect fit. The best route runner in the draft with the explosiveness to separate? Aaron Rodgers might retire if the Packers passed on him with this pick.
23. Arizona Cardinals- CB Andrew Booth Jr. Clemson- The Cardinals would probably prefer taking an EDGE to replace Chandler Jones here, but the depth at the position allows the Cardinals to wait a round. Booth gives the Cardinals a leader on and off the field to build on who excels in press/man coverage. While not the most athletic, his size and physicality make up for it and will make him a reliable corner in a division that has a lot of receiving threats to worry about.
24. Dallas Cowboys- EDGE David Ojabo Michigan- Dallas is being rumored to trade up, which I believe is for an EDGE that could slip. Rest assured, they’re targeting an EDGE. While Ojabo’s achilles injury might scare teams because he won’t play this year, the talent is worth taking a chance on and it’s something Dallas never shies away from.
25. Buffalo Bills- OG Zion Johnson Boston College- The Bills don’t have a lot of needs. If anything they could use another WR, but they also need help in the interior line. With Zion’s ability to play all over the line, he seems like an ideal fit for the Bills in what they need. His workhorse mentality and non-stop motor will make him great for the running game and has the mobility to handle himself in the passing game. After this, the Bills just need to build off their depth and they’ll be as talented as any team in the NFL.
26. Tennessee Titans- WR George Pickens Georgia- A potential shocker of a pick. The Titans need another receiving threat for Ryan Tannehill and especially with the AJ Brown rumors swirling. Pickens has been under some scrutiny from scouts recently, but I feel that’s scouts trying to push Pickens down in the draft. The potential is there for a franchise WR and if he was healthy all year, he’s potentially a Top 10 pick. The Trans would be getting a potential steal here that would make their offense that much more lethal.
27. Tampa Bay Buccaneers- DL Logan Hall Houston- The Bucs have a few needs like on the O-Line, but their D-Line, especially the interior needs work. Hall is a fascinating prospect as he can play both inside and on the edge. He’s tested very well through the process and would be an amazing partner inside next to Vita Vea. The Bucs thrive when they can get to the passer, adding Hall will make things more explosive.
28. Green Bay Packers- C Tyler Linderbaum Iowa- Yes, the Packers drafted Josh Myers last year and did well, but I still believe he can slide to the Guard position. Linderbaum gives the Packers another strong lineman to protect Aaron Rodgers. The most dangerous thing the Packers can do is build an O-Line that gives Rodgers time to throw. Linderbaum will offer that and also be a bully in the running game which the Packers have the threats to thrive there. To walk out with Olave and Linderbaum, it’s an A+ draft for the Pack.
29. Kansas City Chiefs- WR Christian Watson North Dakota State- I’m not changing this pick, it’s too obvious. Watson’s size and speed to pair with Patrick Mahomes is a nightmare waiting to happen.
30. Kansas City Chiefs- CB Kaiir Elam Florida- There’s a ton of buzz surrounding Elam, who once was a Top 10 prospect and fell out of favor with scouts over the last year. The talent is there with Elam, but the question is with recent Florida CBs, is he a Joe Haden or a Vernon Hargraves? For the Chiefs, they need secondary help and this class at CB is very weak. While maybe a slight reach, the Chiefs have to take the reach and bet on the talent.
31. Cincinnati Bengals- OG Tyler Smith Tulsa- The Bengals need O-Line help that’s obvious, but the sure fire 1st Round talents are off the board. Tyler Smith is a fascinating name that could jump into the 1st Round. Smith is versatile and has the size and athleticism to play inside and outside. The Bengals could very well jump on the chance on a guy that can play across the line and build something that can protect Joe Burrow.
32. Detroit Lions- QB Desmond Ridder Cincinnati- The Lions are going to need to find a QB for the future. The question is here which one? Sam Howell is the gamer personality that Dan Campbell likes, Matt Corral has the arm talent, but Ridder might be the best mix of the two. After being a leader for the Bearcats and leading them to the CFP, there’s a lot to like about Ridder, but he will need time. To play under Jared Goff for a year will allow him to develop and give the Lions a fascinating prospect going forward at QB.
33. Jacksonville Jaguars- S Daxton Hill Michigan
34. Detroit Lions- WR Treylon Burks Arkansas
35. New York Jets- EDGE Boye Mafe Minnesota
36. New York Giants- EDGE Drake Jackson USC
37. Houston Texans- OT Bernard Raimann Central Michigan
38. San Francisco 49ers- DB Jalen Pitre Baylor
39. Chicago Bears- WR Jahan Dotson Penn State
40. Seattle Seahawks- EDGE Arnold Ebiteke Penn State
41. Seattle Seahawks- QB Sam Howell North Carolina
42. Indianapolis Colts- WR Alec Pierce Cincinnati
43. Atlanta Falcons- QB Matt Corral Ole Miss
44. Cleveland Browns- EDGE George Karlaftis Purdue- Andrew Berry gets his guy all along. While Karlaftis doesn’t do anything special, he does everything well. He can stop the run, rush the passer and be an effective playmaker opposite Myles Garrett. Add to that he fits all the guardrails, the Browns get their ideal fit. My comparison for George Karlaftis is Jabaal Sheard.
45. Baltimore Ravens- CB Kyler Gordon Washington-
46. Minnesota Vikings- S Lewis Cine Georgia-
47. Washington Commanders- OG Dylan Parham Memphis
48. Chicago Bears- CB Marcus Jones Houston
49. New Orleans Saints- WR Skyy Moore Western Michigan
50. Kansas City Chiefs- DT Travis Jones UCONN
51. Philadelphia Eagles- LB Nakobe Dean Georgia
52. Pittsburgh Steelers- LB Quay Walker Georgia
53. Green Bay Packers- EDGE Josh Paschal Kentucky
54. New England Patriots- WR John Metchie III Alabama
55. Arizona Cardinals- EDGE Nik Bonitto Oklahoma
56. Dallas Cowboys- LB Leo Chenal Wisconsin
57. Buffalo Bills- WR Jalen Tolbert Southern Alabama
58. Atlanta Falcons- S Jaquan Brisker Penn State
59. Green Bay Packers- LB Troy Andersen Montana State
60. Tampa Bay Buccaneers- TE Trey McBride Colorado State
61. San Francisco 49ers- OL Luke Goedeke Central Michigan
62. Kansas City Chiefs- RB Kenneth Walker III Michigan State
63. Cincinnati Bengals- CB Roger McCreery Auburn
64. Denver Broncos- EDGE Kingsley Enagbare South Carolina
Browns Ideal 7 Round Draft
3rd Round (#78 Overall)- DT Perrion Winfrey Oklahoma
3rd Round (#99 Overall)- WR David Bell Purdue
4th Round (#118 Overall)- TE Daniel Bellinger San Diego State
6th Round (#202 Overall)- RB Keontay Ingram USC
7th Round (#223 Overall)- LB Mike Rose Iowa State
7th Round (#246 Overall)- K Cameron Dicker Texas
And there you have it, another Mock Draft season is in the books and it marks the end of my 10th Anniversary of covering the NFL Draft. While I’m not sure how much longer I’m going to do this, but I will say this draft has been one of the most challenging to project in my 10 years. I hope to have you all join The Dawgland’s Draft show Thursday night on Twitter spaces. Make sure you’re following The Dawgland on Twitter to join us all draft weekend!